Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18

Jan 6, 2021 at 6pm UK

Stade Francis-Le Blé

Brest
2 - 0
Nice

Mounie (23'), Honorat (28')
Honorat (52'), Lasne (72')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Saliba (11'), Gouiri (63'), Mahou (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 37.19%. A win for Nice had a probability of 37.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.

Result
Brest	Draw	Nice
37.19%	25.66%	37.15%

Both teams to score 55.43%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.35%

48.65%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.24%

70.76%

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.46%

25.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.6%

60.4%

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.44%

25.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.58%

60.42%

Score Analysis

Brest 37.19%

Nice 37.15%

Draw 25.65%

Brest	Draw	Nice
1-0 @ 8.91% 2-1 @ 8.3% 2-0 @ 6.08% 3-1 @ 3.77% 3-0 @ 2.77% 3-2 @ 2.58% 4-1 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.56% Total : 37.19%	1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 6.53% 2-2 @ 5.66% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.65%	0-1 @ 8.9% 1-2 @ 8.29% 0-2 @ 6.07% 1-3 @ 3.77% 0-3 @ 2.76% 2-3 @ 2.57% 1-4 @ 1.29% 0-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.55% Total : 37.15%