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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22
Feb 4, 2023 at 4pm UK
Parc des Princes
Toulouse

PSG
2 - 1
Toulouse

Hakimi (38'), Messi (58')
Chadaille Bitshiabu (18'), Mendes (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
van den Boomen (20')
Dejaegere (49'), Chaibi (75')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Toulouse.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Paris Saint-Germain could line up for Saturday's Ligue 1 clash with Toulouse.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toulouse 4-1 Troyes
Wednesday, February 1 at 6pm in Ligue 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 2-0 Toulouse

PSG have not conceded in five successive matches versus les Violets, and although they are missing some of their top players, les Parisiens have been at their best on home soil, so we expect them to win comfortably this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 78.35%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 8.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.77%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.58%), while for a Toulouse win it was 1-2 (2.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawToulouse
78.35% (0.084999999999994 0.08) 12.91% (-0.029 -0.03) 8.73% (-0.058 -0.06)
Both teams to score 57.73% (-0.17 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.86% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)25.14% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.89% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)45.11% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.89% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)5.11% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.69% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)20.31% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.84% (-0.178 -0.18)39.16% (0.178 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.12% (-0.168 -0.17)75.88% (0.167 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 78.35%
    Toulouse 8.73%
    Draw 12.91%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawToulouse
2-0 @ 8.85% (0.041 0.04)
3-0 @ 8.77% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.3% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 8.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 6.52% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 6.11% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-0 @ 5.95% (0.028 0.03)
5-0 @ 3.88% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.86% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-1 @ 3.64% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 2.87% (-0.015 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.92% (0.008 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.8% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-2 @ 1.7% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 5.96%
Total : 78.35%
1-1 @ 5.58% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 3.89% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 2% (0.0089999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 12.91%
1-2 @ 2.62% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-1 @ 1.88%
2-3 @ 1.22% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 8.73%

How you voted: PSG vs Toulouse

Paris Saint-Germain
87.9%
Draw
7.4%
Toulouse
4.7%
149
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2022 8pm
Toulouse
0-3
PSG

Ratao (64')
Neymar (37'), Mbappe (50'), Bernat (90')
May 9, 2020 7pm
Aug 25, 2019 8pm
Nov 24, 2018 4pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


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