Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18
Jan 11, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade de l'Aube
Troyes0 - 2Marseille
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-3 Troyes
Monday, January 2 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Monday, January 2 at 2pm in Ligue 1
We said: Troyes 1-2 Marseille
With Marseille missing some key defenders for this match, we can certainly envisage Troyes getting themselves on the scoresheet at some point during the encounter. However, Marseille have looked in excellent offensive form since returning from the break, and they should narrowly secure a fifth straight league victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 56%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 21.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.87%) and 0-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Troyes win it was 1-0 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Troyes | Draw | Marseille |
| 21.07% | 22.93% | 56% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 53.57% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.92% | 46.07% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.62% | 68.38% ( -0) |
| Troyes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.98% | 36.02% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.2% | 72.8% ( -0) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.72% ( -0) | 16.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.18% | 45.82% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
Troyes 21.07%
Marseille 55.99%
Draw 22.93%
| Troyes | Draw | Marseille |
| 1-0 @ 5.99% 2-1 @ 5.55% 2-0 @ 3.06% 3-1 @ 1.89% 3-2 @ 1.72% 3-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.83% Total : 21.07% | 1-1 @ 10.86% 0-0 @ 5.86% 2-2 @ 5.04% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.93% | 0-1 @ 10.64% 1-2 @ 9.87% 0-2 @ 9.66% 1-3 @ 5.97% 0-3 @ 5.85% 2-3 @ 3.05% 1-4 @ 2.71% 0-4 @ 2.65% 2-4 @ 1.38% 1-5 @ 0.98% 0-5 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.27% Total : 55.99% |
How you voted: Troyes vs Marseille
Troyes
9.4%Draw
11.8%Marseille
78.8%85
Head to Head
May 14, 2016 8pm
