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Ligue 1
Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17
Jan 2, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Marseille

Montpellier
1 - 2
Marseille

Savanier (90+1' pen.)
Ferri (52'), Jullien (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tavares (47'), Esteve (61' og.)
Mbemba (7'), Lopez (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last Game: Lorient 0-2 Montpellier
Thursday, December 29 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Marseille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 6-1 Toulouse
Thursday, December 29 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Montpellier HSC 1-3 Marseille

 Overcoming a Lorient side on a slippery slope is one thing, but Montpellier's mettle will be tested to the extreme versus a Marseille team who possess a goal threat from all vicinities. Tudor's prolific crop have developed a penchant for goal-laden performances away from home recently, and while La Paillade can feel optimistic about their chances of scoring, the firepower of Marseille should prove too hot to handle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 58.31%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 19.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-0 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawMarseille
19.67% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 22.02% (0.0059999999999967 0.01) 58.31% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.05% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)43.95% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.67% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)66.33% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.78% (0.0049999999999955 0)36.22% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27% (0.0040000000000013 0)73% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)14.77% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.98% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)43.02% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 19.68%
    Marseille 58.31%
    Draw 22.02%
Montpellier HSCDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 5.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 5.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 2.76% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 1.79% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.71% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 19.68%
1-1 @ 10.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.05% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.02%
0-1 @ 10.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.94%
0-2 @ 9.78% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-3 @ 6.34% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 6.24% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 3.22% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 3.03% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-4 @ 2.98% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-4 @ 1.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-5 @ 1.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-5 @ 1.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 58.31%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Marseille

Montpellier HSC
12.9%
Draw
9.7%
Marseille
77.4%
62
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2022 8pm
Marseille
2-0
Montpellier
Dieng (9'), Under (19' pen.)

Ferri (18'), Leroy (66')
Omlin (90')
Jan 29, 2022 8pm
Round of 16
Marseille
1-1
Montpellier
 Marseille win 5-4 on penalties
Milik (74')
Kamara (90+1')
Makouana (80')
Aug 8, 2021 7.45pm
Montpellier
2-3
Marseille
Peres (30' og.), Laborde (34')
Under (68'), Payet (75', 80')
Peres (44')
Apr 10, 2021 8pm
Montpellier
3-3
Marseille
Delort (1'), Laborde (47', 90+2')
Mollet (8'), Ferri (76')
Milik (43'), Gueye (45+1'), Perrin (71')
Thauvin (40'), Gonzalez (54')
Caleta-Car (62')
Jan 6, 2021 8pm
Marseille
3-1
Montpellier
Radonjic (41'), Payet (80'), Germain (84')
Mollet (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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