Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Reims |
31.42% ( -0.13) | 26.15% ( -0.01) | 42.43% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 52.62% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.25% ( 0.01) | 51.74% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.48% ( 0) | 73.51% ( -0.01) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.4% ( -0.09) | 30.6% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.16% ( -0.1) | 66.84% ( 0.1) |
Reims Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.82% ( 0.07) | 24.18% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.5% ( 0.11) | 58.5% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Reims |
1-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.09% Total : 31.42% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.4% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.14% | 0-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.83% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.46% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 42.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 10 | 23 | 29 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 23 |
3 | Marseille | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Reims | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
13 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |