Marseille
1 - 1
Montpellier

Milik (74')
Kamara (90+1')

FT
(aet)

Makouana (80')

Marseille win 5-4 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Coupe de France clash between Marseille and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We say: Marseille 2-0 Montpellier HSC

The manner of Montpellier's smash-and-grab win over Monaco was wholly impressive in the absence of Savanier, but with two-goal hero Mavididi now missing as well, La Paillade's cup journey is set to end here. Marseille can afford to dream of Coupe de France glory while they remain well clear of the Champions League-chasing pack in Ligue 1, and despite some expected rotation, Sampaoli's bountiful resources ought to get the job done convincingly. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 63.59%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 15.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (4.83%).

Result
Marseille	Draw	Montpellier HSC
63.59%	20.61%	15.81%

Both teams to score 51.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.87%

44.13%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.49%

66.51%

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.79%

13.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.06%

39.94%

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.18%

40.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.6%

77.4%

Score Analysis

Marseille 63.58%

Montpellier HSC 15.81%

Draw 20.61%

Marseille	Draw	Montpellier HSC
2-0 @ 11.04% 1-0 @ 10.91% 2-1 @ 9.9% 3-0 @ 7.46% 3-1 @ 6.68% 4-0 @ 3.77% 4-1 @ 3.38% 3-2 @ 2.99% 5-0 @ 1.53% 4-2 @ 1.52% 5-1 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.03% Total : 63.58%	1-1 @ 9.78% 0-0 @ 5.39% 2-2 @ 4.43% Other @ 1% Total : 20.61%	0-1 @ 4.83% 1-2 @ 4.38% 0-2 @ 2.16% 2-3 @ 1.32% 1-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.8% Total : 15.81%