Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19
Jan 14, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Marseille3 - 1Lorient
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Troyes 0-2 Marseille
Wednesday, January 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Wednesday, January 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 2-2 Monaco
Wednesday, January 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Wednesday, January 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1
We said: Marseille 2-1 Lorient
We expect a closely-fought affair at Stade Velodrome on Saturday, but the hosts should have just about enough to squeeze out a sixth successive league win. Lorient possess more than enough firepower to score against Tudor's side, but Marseille are a settled unit at present and will have vociferous support on their side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 63.76%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 16.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Lorient |
63.76% ( 0.01) | 20.22% ( -0) | 16.02% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.16% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.01% ( -0) | 41.99% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.6% | 64.4% ( -0) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.5% | 12.5% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.5% ( 0) | 38.49% ( -0.01) |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.75% ( -0.01) | 39.25% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.04% ( -0.01) | 75.96% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
Marseille 63.75%
Lorient 16.02%
Draw 20.22%
| Marseille | Draw | Lorient |
| 2-0 @ 10.6% 1-0 @ 10.2% 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.35% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.88% 4-0 @ 3.82% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.58% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.22% 4-2 @ 1.67% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.59% 5-1 @ 1.49% ( 0)Other @ 3.44% Total : 63.75% | 1-1 @ 9.54% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.91% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0)3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.22% | 0-1 @ 4.59% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.46% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.15% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.39% ( -0)Other @ 1.98% Total : 16.02% |
How you voted: Marseille vs Lorient
Marseille
83.0%Draw
9.4%Lorient
7.5%53
Head to Head
Apr 17, 2021 4pm
