Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Strasbourg | Draw | Lorient |
41.21% ( 0.77) | 26.66% ( -0.23) | 32.14% ( -0.54) |
Both teams to score 51.29% ( 0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.43% ( 0.77) | 53.57% ( -0.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.92% ( 0.65) | 75.08% ( -0.64) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.38% ( 0.77) | 25.62% ( -0.76) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.49% ( 1.03) | 60.51% ( -1.03) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.96% ( 0.03) | 31.04% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.65% ( 0.03) | 67.35% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Strasbourg | Draw | Lorient |
1-0 @ 10.82% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.35% Total : 41.2% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 7.41% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 3% Total : 32.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 22 |
5 | Nice | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 20 |
6 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
7 | Auxerre | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
9 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Le HavreLe Havre | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 12 |
15 | Rennes | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 11 |
16 | NantesNantes | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
17 | Angers | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |