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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
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Lille
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Marseille
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Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
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Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Nantes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21
Feb 1, 2023 at 6pm UK
La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau
Marseille

Nantes
0 - 2
Marseille


Traore (13'), Mollet (27'), Centonze (45+2'), Simon (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Victor (57' og.), Ounahi (90+3')
Malinovskyi (17'), Balerdi (79'), Lopez (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Clermont 0-0 Nantes
Sunday, January 29 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Monaco
Saturday, January 28 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nantes 0-1 Marseille

Nantes continued their perfect defensive record in 2023 on the weekend with a stalemate at Clermont Foot, but now face a Marseille team who have scored in each of their last 12 matches in all competitions. Tudor's side know that they cannot afford to drop points in successive fixtures if they are to challenge PSG and Lens for the title this season, and we expect them to earn maximum points at Stade de la Beaujoire on Wednesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 55.4%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 21.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
NantesDrawMarseille
21.03% (0.433 0.43) 23.57% (0.357 0.36) 55.4% (-0.79 -0.79)
Both teams to score 51.49% (-0.475 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.19% (-0.951 -0.95)48.81% (0.951 0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.09% (-0.869 -0.87)70.9% (0.869 0.87)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.39% (-0.103 -0.1)37.61% (0.103 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.61% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)74.39% (0.09899999999999 0.1)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.53% (-0.626 -0.63)17.47% (0.626 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.05% (-1.104 -1.1)47.94% (1.104 1.1)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 21.03%
    Marseille 55.4%
    Draw 23.56%
NantesDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 6.42% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 5.48% (0.071 0.07)
2-0 @ 3.14% (0.104 0.1)
3-1 @ 1.79% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.56% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.02% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 21.03%
1-1 @ 11.2% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 6.57% (0.253 0.25)
2-2 @ 4.78% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 23.56%
0-1 @ 11.46% (0.21 0.21)
0-2 @ 10% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.78% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
0-3 @ 5.82% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-3 @ 5.69% (-0.148 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-4 @ 2.54% (-0.113 -0.11)
1-4 @ 2.48% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-4 @ 1.21% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 55.4%

How you voted: Nantes vs Marseille

Nantes
13.6%
Draw
15.9%
Marseille
70.5%
88
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 8pm
Marseille
2-1
Nantes
Mbemba (70'), Pallois (82' og.)
Rongier (55'), Gigot (60'), Lopez (76'), Veretout (90+3')
Gigot (76')
Blas (78' pen.)
Guessand (59')
Apr 20, 2022 8pm
Marseille
3-2
Nantes
Payet (39' pen., 55' pen.), Harit (75')
Peres (35'), Milik (87')
Girotto (26'), Coco (41')
Blas (32'), Coco (45'), Da Silva (81'), Appiah (90+1')
Coco (90+3')
Dec 1, 2021 8pm
Nantes
0-1
Marseille

Pallois (14'), Lafont (78')
Pallois (32')
Gerson (30')
Gerson (71'), Gonzalez (78')
Feb 20, 2021 4pm
Nantes
1-1
Marseille
Blas (50')
Traore (32'), Castelletto (43'), Chirivella (74'), Bamba (88')
Payet (69')
Gonzalez (88')
Sakai (90+3')
Nov 28, 2020 4pm
Marseille
3-1
Nantes
Thauvin (2'), Payet (35'), Benedetto (60' pen.)
Payet (47'), Rongier (54'), Gonzalez (71'), Strootman (90+3')
Blas (73')
Castelletto (57'), Blas (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG108202982126
2Marseille1062223121120
3MonacoMonaco10622157820
4Lille10532169718
5Nice104421991016
6Lyon104331715215
7Lens1035297214
8Reims104241615114
9StrasbourgStrasbourg103431919013
10Auxerre104151718-113
11Brest104151316-313
12Toulouse103341111012
13Rennes103251316-311
14NantesNantes102441214-210
15Angers102441116-510
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne103161024-1410
17Le HavreLe Havre10307820-129
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier10118830-224


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