Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Nantes |
31.91% ( -0.31) | 26.66% ( 0.03) | 41.44% ( 0.29) |
Both teams to score 51.22% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.37% ( -0.2) | 53.63% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.87% ( -0.17) | 75.13% ( 0.17) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.78% ( -0.31) | 31.22% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.44% ( -0.37) | 67.57% ( 0.37) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.47% ( 0.06) | 25.53% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.62% ( 0.08) | 60.38% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Nantes |
1-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.95% Total : 31.91% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 8.65% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.43% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.37% Total : 41.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
6 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
7 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
15 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
16 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |