MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 17:34:30| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Nice
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18
Jan 11, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Municipal du Ray
Montpellier

Nice
6 - 1
Montpellier

Pepe (15', 56'), Thuram (35'), Delort (75'), Barkley (82', 85')
Pepe (63')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Savanier (80')
Khazri (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rennes 2-1 Nice
Monday, January 2 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nice 0-1 Montpellier HSC

Nice have been out of sorts recently, and they have a very poor record at home, picking up just nine points in their opening eight matches at the Allianz Riviera. Montpellier have also struggled, but they managed to win their last away match in Ligue 1, so we think that they could make it two on the spin on Wednesday in a closely-contested game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 50.06%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 25.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.

Result
NiceDrawMontpellier HSC
50.06% (0.0030000000000001 0) 24.35% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 25.6% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 54.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.5% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)47.5% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.29%69.71%
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.99% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)19.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.43% (0.00099999999999767 0)50.57%
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.26% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)32.74% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.7% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)69.3% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    Nice 50.05%
    Montpellier HSC 25.6%
    Draw 24.34%
NiceDrawMontpellier HSC
1-0 @ 10.33%
2-1 @ 9.58%
2-0 @ 8.58%
3-1 @ 5.3%
3-0 @ 4.75%
3-2 @ 2.96%
4-1 @ 2.2%
4-0 @ 1.97% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 50.05%
1-1 @ 11.53%
0-0 @ 6.22%
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.34%
0-1 @ 6.95%
1-2 @ 6.44% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 3.88%
1-3 @ 2.4%
2-3 @ 1.99%
0-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 25.6%

How you voted: Nice vs Montpellier

Nice
50.8%
Draw
24.6%
Montpellier HSC
24.6%
65
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 4pm
Montpellier
0-0
Nice

Esteve (20'), Wahi (69'), Makouana (90+1')

Lotomba (22'), Boudaoui (32')
Dante (35')
Nov 7, 2021 4pm
Apr 25, 2021 12pm
Nice
3-1
Montpellier
Laborde (3'), Boudaoui (6'), Todibo (39'), Claude-Maurice (40')
Mollet (56'), Boudaoui (59'), Wahi (66')
Sep 12, 2020 4pm
Montpellier
3-1
Nice
Laborde (18'), Congre (50', 64')
Dante (69')
Maolida (40'), Dolberg (82')
Mar 21, 2020 7pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


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