Ligue 1 | Gameweek 25
Feb 26, 2023 at 12pm UK
Stade du Moustoir
Lorient0 - 1Auxerre
We said: Lorient 3-0 Auxerre
Lorient put in a much-improved performance against Ajaccio last weekend, a team that are on the same points tally as Auxerre, and so they should have no trouble sweeping their opponents aside on Sunday. The White and Blues proved they have what it takes to go toe-to-toe with some of the better sides in the division in their last match, defeating Lyon, but their away record is very poor, and Lorient have been very impressive on home soil. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Auxerre |
43.66% ( 0.13) | 25.52% ( -0.08) | 30.82% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 54.37% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
