Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Montpellier
Friday, March 31 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Friday, March 31 at 8pm in Ligue 1
We said: Montpellier HSC 2-0 Toulouse
In an often high-scoring fixture, there have been 18 goals scored in the last five meetings between the sides, including a 4-2 win for Toulouse in the reverse earlier this season. However, Montpellier's resurgence has been phenomenal, and they may well continue their hot streak with another win over a side who could be focusing more on the cup final to come in a few weeks' time. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Toulouse in this match.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Toulouse |
33.04% ( 0.54) | 24.06% ( -0.04) | 42.9% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 60.37% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
