Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27
Mar 12, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Francois Coty
Ajaccio0 - 1Montpellier
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Reims 1-0 Ajaccio
Sunday, March 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, March 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 5-0 Angers
Sunday, March 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, March 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1
We said: Ajaccio 0-2 Montpellier HSC
Ajaccio are desperate for points in their bid to climb out of the bottom four, but Montpellier are full of confidence under their new boss, and we see them putting another victory on the board on Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajaccio | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
41.1% ( -0.08) | 27.91% ( 0.03) | 31% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 47.17% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.39% ( -0.08) | 58.61% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.83% ( -0.06) | 79.17% ( 0.06) |
| Ajaccio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.97% ( -0.08) | 28.03% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.32% ( -0.11) | 63.68% ( 0.11) |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.55% | 34.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.84% ( -0) | 71.17% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
Ajaccio 41.09%
Montpellier HSC 31%
Draw 27.9%
| Ajaccio | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 1-0 @ 12.28% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.81% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.78% Total : 41.09% | 1-1 @ 13.08% 0-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.9% | 0-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.48% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0)Other @ 2.25% Total : 31% |
How you voted: Ajaccio vs Montpellier
Ajaccio
20.0%Draw
15.6%Montpellier HSC
64.4%45
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2022 6pm
Oct 28, 2014 7pm
Feb 22, 2014 7pm
Apr 27, 2013 7pm
