Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
Result | ||
Troyes | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
38.77% ( 0.78) | 26.29% ( -0.13) | 34.93% ( -0.64) |
Both teams to score 53.11% ( 0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.45% ( 0.51) | 51.55% ( -0.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.66% ( 0.44) | 73.34% ( -0.43) |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74% ( 0.67) | 26% ( -0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.97% ( 0.89) | 61.03% ( -0.88) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.77% ( -0.15) | 28.23% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.07% ( -0.19) | 63.93% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Troyes | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
1-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.36% Total : 38.77% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.76% Total : 34.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
8 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
9 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |