MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 12:16:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Strasbourg
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22
Feb 5, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Meinau
Montpellier

Strasbourg
2 - 0
Montpellier

Diallo (1', 45')
Lienard (37'), Diallo (75'), Sels (84')
Aholou (33')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Fayad (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Strasbourg and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rennes 3-0 Strasbourg
Wednesday, February 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-3 PSG
Wednesday, February 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Strasbourg 2-2 Montpellier HSC

Despite both struggling, Strasbourg and Montpellier have been able to find the net with some regularity this season. Defence is where their issues lie, so that could mean goals will be in plentiful supply here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 50.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 23.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.

Result
StrasbourgDrawMontpellier HSC
50.73% (0.395 0.39) 25.29% (-0.259 -0.26) 23.97% (-0.141 -0.14)
Both teams to score 49.9% (0.601 0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.27% (0.864 0.86)52.72% (-0.87 -0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.64% (0.733 0.73)74.36% (-0.738 -0.74)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.2% (0.51499999999999 0.51)20.79% (-0.52 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.55% (0.809 0.81)53.45% (-0.813 -0.81)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63% (0.348 0.35)36.99% (-0.353 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.22% (0.346 0.35)73.78% (-0.351 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Strasbourg 50.72%
    Montpellier HSC 23.97%
    Draw 25.29%
StrasbourgDrawMontpellier HSC
1-0 @ 12.07% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-0 @ 9.49% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.066999999999998 0.07)
3-0 @ 4.97% (0.066 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.94% (0.112 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.079 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.95% (0.056 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.94% (0.074 0.07)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 50.72%
1-1 @ 12.01% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 7.69% (-0.268 -0.27)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 25.29%
0-1 @ 7.65% (-0.19 -0.19)
1-2 @ 5.97% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 3.8% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.98% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.56% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 23.97%

How you voted: Strasbourg vs Montpellier

Strasbourg
40.0%
Draw
35.0%
Montpellier HSC
25.0%
40
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 4pm
Montpellier
2-1
Strasbourg
Nordin (17'), Savanier (90+4' pen.)
Diallo (85')
Aholou (20')
Jan 16, 2022 2pm
Strasbourg
3-1
Montpellier
Majeed Waris (77'), Thomasson (84'), Gameiro (86')
Bellegarde (22'), Kandil (70')
Mollet (11')
Ferri (59'), Savanier (65')
Wahi (66')
Oct 2, 2021 4pm
May 9, 2021 2pm
Strasbourg
2-3
Montpellier
Ajorque (69'), Zohi (90+4')
Aholou (37'), Djiku (90+1')
Laborde (36', 49'), Delort (46')
Le Tallec (43'), Chotard (61'), Ristic (90+5')
Nov 22, 2020 2pm
Montpellier
4-3
Strasbourg
Mendes (8'), Delort (13', 31'), Laborde (68')
Mendes (25'), Congre (54'), Der Zakarian (58')
Lala (22' pen.), Diallo (26' pen.), Ajorque (45')
Aholou (49')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG12102036102632
2MonacoMonaco1282221101126
3Marseille1272327161123
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon125431916319
6Reims125342016418
7Nice1145221111017
8Lens124531312117
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse124351314-115
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest124171622-613
13Saint-EtienneSt Etienne124171125-1413
14Rennes113261318-511
15NantesNantes112451417-310
16Angers112451320-710
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier122191132-217


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