Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23

Feb 10, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade Municipal du Ray

Nice
3 - 0
Ajaccio

Dante (3'), Brahimi (69', 90')
Boudaoui (57')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Ajaccio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nice

All competitions

Last Game: Marseille 1-3 Nice
Sunday, February 5 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ajaccio

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Ajaccio 0-2 Nantes
Sunday, February 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Struggling for goals, without their captain and vice-captain and facing a reinvigorated Nice side, this contest has all the makings of a bad day at the office for Ajaccio. Les Aiglons' hot streak is sure to end at some point, but it should not be on Friday, as Digard's men continue to put pressure on their fellow European hopefuls with a straightforward victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 51.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 22.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Nice in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Nice.

Result
Nice	Draw	Ajaccio
51.95% ( -0.04)	25.49% ( 0.03)	22.56% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 47.81% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.3% (

-0.1)

54.7% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.98% (

-0.08)

76.02% (

0.08)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.92% (

-0.06)

21.08% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.1% (

-0.09)

53.9% (

0.09)

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.58% (

-0.05)

39.42% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.88% (

-0.04)

76.12% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Nice 51.94%

Ajaccio 22.56%

Draw 25.49%

Nice	Draw	Ajaccio
1-0 @ 12.93% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.29% Total : 51.94%	1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.77% Total : 25.49%	0-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.61% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.6% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.41% Total : 22.56%