Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21

Feb 1, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade Felix Bollaert

Lens
0 - 1
Nice

FT(HT: 0-0)

Laborde (57')
Rosario (76'), Ramsey (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Troyes 1-1 Lens
Saturday, January 28 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nice

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Nice 1-0 Lille
Sunday, January 29 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Lens 1-0 Nice

Regardless of Nice's recent upturn in form, Lens look set to make it 11 wins from 11 home league games on Wednesday night, keeping yet another clean sheet in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 52.59%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Nice had a probability of 22.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Lens	Draw	Nice
52.59% ( -0.13)	25.13% ( 0.05)	22.28% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 48.5% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.38% (

-0.13)

53.61% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.88% (

-0.11)

75.11% (

0.11)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.61% (

-0.11)

20.38% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.2% (

-0.17)

52.8% (

0.17)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.92% (

-0)

39.08% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.2% (

-0)

75.8% (

Score Analysis

Lens 52.57%

Nice 22.28%

Draw 25.12%

Lens	Draw	Nice
1-0 @ 12.66% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 52.57%	1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.81% Total : 25.12%	0-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.45% Total : 22.28%