Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21
Feb 1, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
Lens0 - 1Nice
We said: Lens 1-0 Nice
Regardless of Nice's recent upturn in form, Lens look set to make it 11 wins from 11 home league games on Wednesday night, keeping yet another clean sheet in the process. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 52.59%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Nice had a probability of 22.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Nice |
52.59% ( -0.13) | 25.13% ( 0.05) | 22.28% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 48.5% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.38% ( -0.13) | 53.61% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.88% ( -0.11) | 75.11% ( 0.11) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.61% ( -0.11) | 20.38% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.2% ( -0.17) | 52.8% ( 0.17) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.92% ( -0) | 39.08% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.2% ( -0) | 75.8% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
Lens 52.57%
Nice 22.28%
Draw 25.12%
| Lens | Draw | Nice |
| 1-0 @ 12.66% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 52.57% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.81% Total : 25.12% | 0-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.75% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.45% Total : 22.28% |
How you voted: Lens vs Nice
Lens
80.5%Draw
14.6%Nice
4.9%82
Form Guide
