Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Toulouse 1-1 Brest
Sunday, January 15 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, January 15 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 1-0 Auxerre
Saturday, January 14 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, January 14 at 4pm in Ligue 1
We said: Brest 1-2 Lens
Both sides possess plenty of talented attacking players, who may be liberated without the pressure of competing at either ends of the league table. As such, we expect to seen an entertaining encounter at Stade Francis Le Ble on Sunday. However, there is little doubt that Lens head into the cup tie in significantly better form than Brest, and they are therefore the more likely victors. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 54.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Brest had a probability of 21.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Brest win it was 1-0 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brest | Draw | Lens |
21.84% ( 0.1) | 23.25% ( 0.03) | 54.91% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 53.64% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
