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Coupe de France | Semi-Finals
Apr 6, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Parc des Sports
Toulouse

Annecy
1 - 2
Toulouse

Bosetti (45+4' pen.)
Temanfo (25'), Bosetti (45+5'), Guyot (55')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Aboukhlal (36'), Chaibi (85')
van den Boomen (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Coupe de France clash between Annecy and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Annecy

All competitions
Coupe de France
Last Game: Nimes 4-0 Annecy
Saturday, April 1 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Toulouse

All competitions
Coupe de France
Last Game: Brest 3-1 Toulouse
Sunday, April 2 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Annecy 0-0 Toulouse (Annecy advances on penalties)

 Strange things can happen in these single elimination matches, as numerous Ligue 1 clubs can attest to this season, and we expect the home crowd and some heroic goalkeeping could be enough for Annecy to cause another upset. Both sides are in poor form domestically at the moment, but the pressure will be squarely on the shoulders of Toulouse, who have not handled that well in past Coupe de France campaigns, which could give the home team the psychological edge they need to triumph. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Annecy had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Annecy win was 1-0 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result
AnnecyDrawToulouse
30.48% (-0.07 -0.07) 24.96% (0.167 0.17) 44.56% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Both teams to score 56.06% (-0.606 -0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.92% (-0.776 -0.78)47.07% (0.774 0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.68% (-0.728 -0.73)69.32% (0.727 0.73)
Annecy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.11% (-0.43599999999999 -0.44)28.89% (0.434 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.24% (-0.542 -0.54)64.76% (0.541 0.54)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.84% (-0.367 -0.37)21.16% (0.366 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.97% (-0.573 -0.57)54.03% (0.57100000000001 0.57)
Score Analysis
    Annecy 30.48%
    Toulouse 44.56%
    Draw 24.95%
AnnecyDrawToulouse
1-0 @ 7.59% (0.154 0.15)
2-1 @ 7.32% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.71% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.03% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.95% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.94% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 30.48%
1-1 @ 11.78% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.11% (0.196 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.95%
0-1 @ 9.5% (0.202 0.2)
1-2 @ 9.15% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.37% (0.075 0.08)
1-3 @ 4.74% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.82% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.94% (-0.075 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.84% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.48% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 44.56%

How you voted: Annecy vs Toulouse

Annecy
28.4%
Draw
24.2%
Toulouse
47.4%
95
rhs 2.0
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