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Ligue 1
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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 34
May 19, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Montpellier

Lens
2 - 2
Montpellier

Wahi (4'), Machado (45+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Maamma (58'), Mincarelli (74')
Khazri (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions
Last Game: Rennes 1-1 Lens
Sunday, May 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last Game: Montpellier 0-2 Monaco
Sunday, May 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lens 1-0 Montpellier HSC

 Lens will have the motivation of European football being on the line in this game, while the visitors have nothing left to play for, leading us to believe the hosts will win this one. One goal has been the difference in five of the last six victories for either side in this fixture, and we believe this one will follow the same pattern with a 1-0 win for Lens. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 52.79%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 24.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
LensDrawMontpellier HSC
52.79% (1.17 1.17) 22.93% (0.059000000000001 0.06) 24.27% (-1.229 -1.23)
Both teams to score 57.77% (-1.561 -1.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.52% (-1.455 -1.46)42.48% (1.456 1.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.11% (-1.466 -1.47)64.88% (1.466 1.47)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.89% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)16.11% (0.116 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.48% (-0.211 -0.21)45.52% (0.211 0.21)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.87% (-1.763 -1.76)31.13% (1.763 1.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.54% (-2.109 -2.11)67.46% (2.109 2.11)
Score Analysis
    Lens 52.79%
    Montpellier HSC 24.27%
    Draw 22.93%
LensDrawMontpellier HSC
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.086 0.09)
1-0 @ 9.16% (0.547 0.55)
2-0 @ 8.36% (0.468 0.47)
3-1 @ 5.94% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.09% (0.266 0.27)
3-2 @ 3.46% (-0.155 -0.16)
4-1 @ 2.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.32% (0.113 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.077 -0.08)
5-1 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 52.79%
1-1 @ 10.68% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.231 -0.23)
0-0 @ 5.02% (0.318 0.32)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.131 -0.13)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.93%
1-2 @ 6.24% (-0.228 -0.23)
0-1 @ 5.85% (0.097 0.1)
0-2 @ 3.42% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.43% (-0.215 -0.22)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.205 -0.21)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 24.27%

How you voted: Lens vs Montpellier

Lens
66.7%
Draw
20.8%
Montpellier HSC
12.5%
24
Head to Head
Dec 8, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 15
Montpellier
0-0
Lens
Delaye (84'), Ferri (90+3')
Danso (12'), Frankowski (15'), Gradit (90+3')
> Preview
Feb 25, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 25
Montpellier
1-1
Lens
Maouassa (59')
Fulgini (4')
> Preview
Oct 15, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 11
Lens
1-0
Montpellier
Said (67')
> Preview
Apr 20, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 33
Lens
2-0
Montpellier
Costa (37'), Ganago (75')
Costa (70')
> Preview
Oct 17, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 10
Montpellier
1-0
Lens
Mavididi (47')
Chotard (58'), Esteve (67'), Ferri (68')
Ferri (86')

Wooh (29'), Costa (62'), Jean (77'), Said (81')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG15114040122837
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1593324121230
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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