MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 23:37:48| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Le Havre

Lens
1 - 1
Le Havre

Frankowski (58')
Gradit (62'), Aguilar (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sabbi (78' pen.)
Ayew (51'), Operi (63'), Kechta (69'), Bayo (90+5'), Toure (90+2'), Bayo (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Le Havre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 2-1 Lens
Friday, March 29 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 0-2 Montpellier
Sunday, March 31 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lens 2-0 Le Havre

Lens have had a rough few weeks by losing to two direct top-four rivals, but a favourable game on paper should see them return to form this weekend. Le Havre have shown no form whatsoever in recent weeks, and a lack of goals is sinking them deeper into trouble, with away results also a huge concern after a recent defeat at Clermont. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 57.28%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 19.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Le Havre win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.

Result
LensDrawLe Havre
57.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 23.17% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 19.54% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.46% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.96% (0.051000000000002 0.05)49.03% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.88% (0.044 0.04)71.11% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.12% (0.013000000000005 0.01)16.87% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.1% (0.027000000000001 0.03)46.9% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.7% (0.042999999999999 0.04)39.3% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24% (0.041 0.04)76% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Lens 57.27%
    Le Havre 19.54%
    Draw 23.17%
LensDrawLe Havre
1-0 @ 11.79% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 6.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.82% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 2.77%
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 57.27%
1-1 @ 11.02%
0-0 @ 6.63% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.58% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 23.17%
0-1 @ 6.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.89% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.6% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.43% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 0.9% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 19.54%

How you voted: Lens vs Le Havre

Lens
91.9%
Draw
2.7%
Le Havre
5.4%
37
Head to Head
Oct 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 9
Le Havre
0-0
Lens
Sabbi (29'), Sangante (65')
Diouf (12'), Danso (20'), Frankowski (34')
Jan 31, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 22
Le Havre
0-0
Lens
Fortes (29')
Aug 17, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 4
Lens
1-3
Le Havre
Gillet (46')
Teka (24'), Gillet (43'), Fortes (45'), Perez (75')
Kadewere (67', 79'), Bese (84')
Dina (30'), Fontaine (60')
Apr 1, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Lens
0-0
Le Havre
Teka (69'), Doucoure (74')
Bain (34'), Youga (58'), Fontaine (66')
Youga (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG108202982126
2Marseille1062223121120
3MonacoMonaco10622157820
4Lille10532169718
5Nice104421991016
6Lyon104331715215
7Lens1035297214
8Reims104241615114
9StrasbourgStrasbourg103431919013
10Auxerre104151718-113
11Brest104151316-313
12Toulouse103341111012
13Rennes103251316-311
14NantesNantes102441214-210
15Angers102441116-510
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne103161024-1410
17Le HavreLe Havre10307820-129
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier10118830-224


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