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Ligue 1
Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 31
Apr 26, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Nantes

Montpellier
1 - 1
Nantes

Adams (2')
Savanier (24'), Tchato (45')
Mincarelli (90+1'), Nordin (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Abline (7')
Sissoko (45+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last Game: Reims 1-2 Montpellier
Sunday, April 21 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Nantes

All competitions
Last Game: Nantes 0-3 Rennes
Saturday, April 20 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Montpellier HSC 2-0 Nantes

 Nantes' abysmal streak of home results and impressive endeavours on the road are most peculiar, and Les Canaris have also had the better of their hosts in recent times, but they now face a Montpellier side riding the crest of a wave. Ruing the absence of a key attacking cog in Simon, Nantes' purple patch away from home should count for little against the in-form Paillade, who have their own difference-maker in Teji Savanier capable of causing chaos against any opponent. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawNantes
43.97% (0.33 0.33) 24.66% (0.050000000000001 0.05) 31.37% (-0.376 -0.38)
Both teams to score 57.51% (-0.34699999999999 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.63% (-0.377 -0.38)45.36% (0.381 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.3% (-0.363 -0.36)67.7% (0.366 0.37)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)20.71% (0.011999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.67% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)53.33% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.54% (-0.42699999999999 -0.43)27.45% (0.431 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.05% (-0.557 -0.56)62.94% (0.56 0.56)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 43.97%
    Nantes 31.37%
    Draw 24.66%
Montpellier HSCDrawNantes
2-1 @ 9.11% (0.032 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.95% (0.142 0.14)
2-0 @ 7.05% (0.11 0.11)
3-1 @ 4.78% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.7% (0.057 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.88% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.46% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 43.97%
1-1 @ 11.57% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.89% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.69% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.66%
1-2 @ 7.48% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
0-1 @ 7.35% (0.031 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.75% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.22% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.54% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.05% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 31.37%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Nantes

Montpellier HSC
81.8%
Draw
10.6%
Nantes
7.6%
66
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 9
Nantes
2-0
Montpellier
Mollet (44'), Bamba (74')
Mollet (65'), Bamba (75')

Kouyate (90+2')
> Preview
May 20, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 36
Nantes
0-3
Montpellier

Merlin (20'), Moutoussamy (49'), Mollet (58'), Blas (77')
Ferri (38'), Nordin (47'), Sacko (88')
> Preview
Jan 15, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 19
Montpellier
0-3
Nantes
Girotto (45+13'), Mohamed (81'), Blas (84')
> Preview
Mar 6, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 27
Nantes
2-0
Montpellier
Kolo (69'), Geubbels (90+2')
Castelletto (30')

Ristic (79')
> Preview
Oct 31, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 12
Montpellier
2-0
Nantes
Mollet (64'), Wahi (71')
Savanier (37'), Sakho (42'), Ferri (90+2')

Appiah (35'), Traore (44'), Pallois (73'), Girotto (90'), Castelletto (90+2')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG15114040122837
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1593324121230
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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