Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30
Apr 20, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
We said: Nantes 1-1 Rennes
Rennes' quality - particularly in the final third - may significantly outweigh that of their hosts, but Stephan's offensive forces have left a lot to be desired in recent weeks, particularly on rival territory.
As a result, a Nantes squad relishing the return of Kombouare may be good enough for a share of the spoils against Les Rouges et Noir, thus ending their disheartening streak of home losses at the ninth attempt.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 51.76% . A win for Nantes had a probability of 24.25% and a draw had a probability of 24% .
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.68%) and 0-2 (8.89%) . The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (6.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%) . The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
Result Nantes Draw Rennes 24.25% ( 0.72) 23.98% ( 0.45) 51.76% ( -1.17)
Both teams to score 54.26% ( -0.65)
52.87% ( -1.26) 47.12% ( 1.26)
30.64% ( -1.18) 69.36% ( 1.18)
66.33% ( -0.06) 33.67% ( 0.06)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 29.68% ( -0.07) 70.32% ( 0.07)
81.8% ( -0.91) 18.2% ( 0.91)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 50.79% ( -1.57) 49.2% ( 1.57)
Nantes 24.25%
Rennes 51.75%
Draw 23.98%
Nantes Draw Rennes 1-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 6.19% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.29% Total : 24.25% 1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.98% 0-1 @ 10.43% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 9.68% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 8.89% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 5.5% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 5.05% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 2.34% ( -0.16) 0-4 @ 2.15% ( -0.15) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.44% Total : 51.75%
How you voted: Nantes vs Rennes
26
rhs 2.0
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