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Angers
AJ Auxerre
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Le Havre
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Lille
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Marseille
Monaco
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Nantes
Nice
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Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Rennes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26
Mar 17, 2024 at 4.05pm UK
Roazhon Park
Marseille

Rennes
2 - 0
Marseille

Terrier (21'), Bourigeaud (77' pen.)
Kalimuendo (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Harit (38'), Lopez (76'), Sarr (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Rennes and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 2-2 Rennes
Sunday, March 10 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Villarreal 3-1 Marseille
Thursday, March 14 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Rennes 1-2 Marseille

Both sides will be desperate for three points in a pivotal contest in the top-five race, and despite facing a tough trip, Marseille are in fine fettle under new management and playing to their full potential, and we fancy them to make it four Ligue 1 wins on the bounce as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
RennesDrawMarseille
42.78% (-0.424 -0.42) 24.51% (0.058 0.06) 32.71% (0.369 0.37)
Both teams to score 58.61% (-0.07 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.82% (-0.153 -0.15)44.18% (0.15499999999999 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.44% (-0.15 -0.15)66.56% (0.15300000000001 0.15)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.24% (-0.255 -0.25)20.76% (0.258 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.61% (-0.403 -0.4)53.39% (0.405 0.41)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.96% (0.151 0.15)26.04% (-0.148 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.92% (0.201 0.2)61.07% (-0.198 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Rennes 42.78%
    Marseille 32.71%
    Draw 24.51%
RennesDrawMarseille
2-1 @ 8.99% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.68% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.71% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.5% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.38% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 42.78%
1-1 @ 11.43% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.05% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 5.4% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.51%
1-2 @ 7.69% (0.056 0.06)
0-1 @ 7.27% (0.08 0.08)
0-2 @ 4.89% (0.074 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.45% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.042 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.16% (0.018 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 32.71%

How you voted: Rennes vs Marseille

Rennes
32.3%
Draw
18.5%
Marseille
49.2%
65
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2024 8.05pm
Round of 32
Rennes
1-1
Marseille
Rennes win 9-8 on penalties
Terrier (53')
Doue (27'), Yildirim (88')
Veretout (29')
Onana (36'), Garcia (45+3'), Oliveira (49')
Dec 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Marseille
2-0
Rennes
Aubameyang (8' pen.), Ounahi (65')
Mughe (81')
Ndiaye (67')

Santamaria (36'), Matic (76'), Gouiri (90')
Wooh (61')
Mar 5, 2023 7.45pm
Jan 20, 2023 8.10pm
Sep 18, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 8
Marseille
1-1
Rennes
Guendouzi (52')
Guendouzi (25' og.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG108202982126
2Marseille1062223121120
3MonacoMonaco10622157820
4Lille10532169718
5Nice104421991016
6Lyon104331715215
7Lens1035297214
8Reims104241615114
9StrasbourgStrasbourg103431919013
10Auxerre104151718-113
11Brest104151316-313
12Toulouse103341111012
13Rennes103251316-311
14NantesNantes102441214-210
15Angers102441116-510
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne103161024-1410
17Le HavreLe Havre10307820-129
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier10118830-224


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