Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26

Mar 17, 2024 at 4.05pm UK

Roazhon Park

Rennes
2 - 0
Marseille

Terrier (21'), Bourigeaud (77' pen.)
Kalimuendo (77')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Harit (38'), Lopez (76'), Sarr (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Rennes and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rennes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lille 2-2 Rennes
Sunday, March 10 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Marseille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Villarreal 3-1 Marseille
Thursday, March 14 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Both sides will be desperate for three points in a pivotal contest in the top-five race, and despite facing a tough trip, Marseille are in fine fettle under new management and playing to their full potential, and we fancy them to make it four Ligue 1 wins on the bounce as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
Rennes	Draw	Marseille
42.78% ( -0.42)	24.51% ( 0.06)	32.71% ( 0.37)

Both teams to score 58.61% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.82% (

-0.15)

44.18% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.44% (

-0.15)

66.56% (

0.15)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.24% (

-0.25)

20.76% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.61% (

-0.4)

53.39% (

0.41)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.96% (

0.15)

26.04% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.92% (

0.2)

61.07% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Rennes 42.78%

Marseille 32.71%

Draw 24.51%

Rennes	Draw	Marseille
2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.75% Total : 42.78%	1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.51%	1-2 @ 7.69% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 32.71%