As inspiring as Le Puy's Coupe de France journey has been, Vieira's men are yet to test their mettle against top-tier opposition, and the fourth-tier charges could therefore be in for a harsh reality check on Thursday. Even an out-of-sorts Rennes side would have little trouble putting the hosts to the sword, but with Stephan's men impressing in Ligue 1 and also hitting Sochaux for six in the last 16, things could get ugly for Le Puy on Thursday as Les Rouges et Noir surge into the semis. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 59.08%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Le Puy F43 Auvergne had a probability of 18.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.08%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Le Puy F43 Auvergne win it was 1-0 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
Le Puy F43 Auvergne	Draw	Rennes
18.07% ( 0.1)	22.85% ( 0.27)	59.08% ( -0.37)

Both teams to score 48.93% (

-0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.23% (

-0.92)

49.77% (

0.92)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.23% (

-0.83)

71.77% (

0.83)

Le Puy F43 Auvergne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.61% (

-0.42)

41.39% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.1% (

-0.38)

77.9% (

0.37)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.49% (

-0.45)

16.51% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.75% (

-0.81)

46.24% (

0.81)

Score Analysis

Le Puy F43 Auvergne 18.07%

Rennes 59.07%

Draw 22.84%

Le Puy F43 Auvergne	Draw	Rennes
1-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 4.79% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.92% Total : 18.07%	1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.84% Total : 22.84%	0-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 11.08% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.78% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 6.66% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 5.87% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 3% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 2.64% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.06) 0-5 @ 1.08% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 0.95% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.95% Total : 59.07%