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Clermont Foot
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Gabriel Montpied
Marseille

Clermont
1 - 5
Marseille

Boutobba (53')
Cham (34'), Borges (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ndiaye (23'), Aubameyang (59'), Clauss (67'), Henrique (80'), Moumbagna (90+2')
Kondogbia (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Clermont and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nice 0-0 Clermont
Sunday, February 25 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Clermont 1-2 Marseille

Both teams have reason to be optimistic of success on Saturday and will view this fixture as a must-win if they wish to achieve their end-of-season targets. Although Marseille's away from has been woeful to say the least this term, their resurgence under new boss Gasset has not gone unnoticed and the 70-year-old should have enough quality at his disposal to lead the visitors to an important victory over their relegation-threatened counterparts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 51.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 23.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.54%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Clermont win it was 1-0 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
ClermontDrawMarseille
23.74% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 25.21% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 51.05% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Both teams to score 49.92% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.41% (0.087999999999994 0.09)52.59% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.76% (0.076000000000001 0.08)74.24% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Clermont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.88% (0.039999999999999 0.04)37.12% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.09% (0.041 0.04)73.91% (-0.041999999999987 -0.04)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.39% (0.049000000000007 0.05)20.61% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.84% (0.078000000000003 0.08)53.16% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Clermont 23.74%
    Marseille 51.04%
    Draw 25.21%
ClermontDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 7.58% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-1 @ 5.93% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 3.76% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.96% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.55% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 23.74%
1-1 @ 11.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.65% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 12.08% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 9.54% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
1-2 @ 9.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.02% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 4.98% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.47% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.98% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.97% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 51.04%

How you voted: Clermont vs Marseille

Clermont
13.5%
Draw
15.4%
Marseille
71.2%
52
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 16
Marseille
2-1
Clermont
Murillo (26'), Harit (42')
Allevinah (58')
Seidu (67'), Gastien (85'), Caufriez (89')
Feb 11, 2023 8.45pm
Gameweek 23
Clermont
0-2
Marseille
Sanchez (44' pen., 81')
Aug 31, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 5
Marseille
1-0
Clermont
Gueye (49')
Rongier (44'), Bailly (90+1')

Andric (37'), Seidu (64')
Feb 20, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Marseille
0-2
Clermont

Sampaoli (39'), Guendouzi (68'), Caleta-Car (75')
Bayo (13'), Allevinah (84')
Seidu (68'), Kyei (89')
Oct 31, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Clermont
0-1
Marseille

Khaoui (53')
Under (25')
Guendouzi (24'), Saliba (40'), Balerdi (43'), de la Fuente (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG108202982126
2Marseille1062223121120
3MonacoMonaco10622157820
4Lille10532169718
5Nice104421991016
6Lyon104331715215
7Lens1035297214
8Reims104241615114
9StrasbourgStrasbourg103431919013
10Auxerre104151718-113
11Brest104151316-313
12Toulouse103341111012
13Rennes103251316-311
14NantesNantes102441214-210
15Angers102441116-510
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne103161024-1410
17Le HavreLe Havre10307820-129
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier10118830-224


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