Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Rennes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Rennes.
Result | ||
Rennes | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
46.9% ( 0.83) | 24.35% ( -0.23) | 28.74% ( -0.6) |
Both teams to score 57.05% ( 0.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.7% ( 0.68) | 45.3% ( -0.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.36% ( 0.65) | 67.64% ( -0.64) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.57% ( 0.62) | 19.42% ( -0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.74% ( 1.01) | 51.25% ( -1) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.81% ( -0.07) | 29.19% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.86% ( -0.09) | 65.14% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Rennes | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.1% Total : 46.9% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.35% | 1-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.4% Total : 28.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
6 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
7 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
15 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
16 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |