Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Marseille |
34.17% | 25.47% | 40.36% |
Both teams to score 55.73% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.87% ( -0) | 48.13% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.71% ( -0) | 70.29% ( 0) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.96% ( -0) | 27.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.59% | 62.41% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.38% | 23.62% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.3% ( -0) | 57.7% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 8.35% 2-1 @ 7.88% 2-0 @ 5.46% 3-1 @ 3.44% 3-2 @ 2.48% 3-0 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.05% Total : 34.17% | 1-1 @ 12.05% 0-0 @ 6.39% 2-2 @ 5.69% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 9.22% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.7% 0-2 @ 6.65% 1-3 @ 4.18% 0-3 @ 3.2% 2-3 @ 2.74% 1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.15% 2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.02% Total : 40.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |