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Angers
AJ Auxerre
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Le Havre
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Lille
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Marseille
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Montpellier
Nantes
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Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17
Dec 20, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Marseille

Montpellier
1 - 1
Marseille

Fayad (14')
Jullien (44'), Savanier (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Veretout (52')
Gigot (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Metz 0-1 Montpellier
Sunday, December 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Clermont
Sunday, December 17 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

We said: Montpellier HSC 0-1 Marseille

Marseille are starting to find ways to win, and their attacking depth should be enough to defeat a Montpellier side who are much more compact defensively on home soil but are not quite as dynamic when in possession. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawMarseille
34.17%25.47%40.36%
Both teams to score 55.73% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.87% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)48.13% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.71% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)70.29% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.96% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)27.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.59%62.41%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.38%23.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.3% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)57.7% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 34.17%
    Marseille 40.36%
    Draw 25.47%
Montpellier HSCDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 8.35%
2-1 @ 7.88%
2-0 @ 5.46%
3-1 @ 3.44%
3-2 @ 2.48%
3-0 @ 2.38%
4-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 34.17%
1-1 @ 12.05%
0-0 @ 6.39%
2-2 @ 5.69%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.47%
0-1 @ 9.22% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 8.7%
0-2 @ 6.65%
1-3 @ 4.18%
0-3 @ 3.2%
2-3 @ 2.74%
1-4 @ 1.51% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.15%
2-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 40.36%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Marseille

Montpellier HSC
9.1%
Draw
20.5%
Marseille
70.5%
44
Head to Head
Mar 31, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 29
Marseille
1-1
Montpellier
Guendouzi (44' pen.)
Nordin (12')
Jan 2, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 17
Montpellier
1-2
Marseille
Savanier (90+1' pen.)
Tavares (47'), Esteve (61' og.)
Apr 10, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 31
Marseille
2-0
Montpellier
Dieng (9'), Under (19' pen.)

Ferri (18'), Leroy (66')
Omlin (90')
Jan 29, 2022 8pm
Round of 16
Marseille
1-1
Montpellier
Marseille win 5-4 on penalties
Milik (74')
Kamara (90+1')
Makouana (80')
Aug 8, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Montpellier
2-3
Marseille
Peres (30' og.), Laborde (34')
Under (68'), Payet (75', 80')
Peres (44')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG12102036102632
2MonacoMonaco1282221101126
3Marseille1272327161123
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon125431916319
6Reims125342016418
7Nice1145221111017
8Lens124531312117
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse124351314-115
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest124171622-613
13Saint-EtienneSt Etienne124171125-1413
14Rennes113261318-511
15NantesNantes112451417-310
16Angers112451320-710
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier122191132-217


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