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Ligue 1
Lorient logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15
Dec 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
Marseille

Lorient
2 - 4
Marseille

Faivre (41'), Mendy (52')
Le Goff (14'), Mendy (16'), Laporte (45+3'), Innocent (62'), Mendy (71')
FT(HT: 1-4)
Mbemba (3'), Aubameyang (9', 42'), Balerdi (33')
Balerdi (21'), Lodi (57'), Gigot (59')
Clauss (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions
Last Game: Toulouse 1-1 Lorient
Sunday, December 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Marseille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 3-0 Lyon
Wednesday, December 6 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lorient 1-2 Marseille

 Lorient have not beaten Marseille at any venue since a barnstorming 5-3 victory back in 2015, and not at home since early 2012, while recent form also suggests the odds are stacked against them. While Marseille have been extremely poor on the road in Ligue 1, a first win of the season away from home cannot be too far away given their upturn in fortunes under Gattuso, and this could be the place to get it. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 54.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 21.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.8%) and 0-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
LorientDrawMarseille
21.79%23.43%54.78% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 52.99%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.66%47.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.44% (0.0019999999999989 0)69.56%
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.97%36.03% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.19%72.81% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.84% (0.0010000000000048 0)17.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.6% (0.00099999999999767 0)47.4%
Score Analysis
    Lorient 21.79%
    Marseille 54.77%
    Draw 23.43%
LorientDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 6.31%
2-1 @ 5.68%
2-0 @ 3.22%
3-1 @ 1.93%
3-2 @ 1.7%
3-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 21.79%
1-1 @ 11.12%
0-0 @ 6.18%
2-2 @ 5%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.43%
0-1 @ 10.89%
1-2 @ 9.8%
0-2 @ 9.6%
1-3 @ 5.76%
0-3 @ 5.64%
2-3 @ 2.94%
1-4 @ 2.54%
0-4 @ 2.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.3%
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 54.77%

How you voted: Lorient vs Marseille

Lorient
11.4%
Draw
14.3%
Marseille
74.3%
35
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Lorient
0-0
Marseille
> Preview
Jan 14, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 19
Marseille
3-1
Lorient
Kolasinac (38'), Sanchez (53'), Veretout (59')
Moffi (29')
> Preview
May 8, 2022 4.05pm
Gameweek 36
Lorient
0-3
Marseille

Lemoine (56')
Dieng (39'), Guendouzi (48'), Gerson (67')
Saliba (65')
> Preview
Oct 17, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Marseille
4-1
Lorient
Kamara (27'), Guendouzi (56', 90+1'), Milik (85')
Lauriente (13' pen.)
Lauriente (81')
> Preview
Apr 17, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 33
Marseille
3-2
Lorient
Payet (53'), Lirola (56', 90+1')
Balerdi (39')
Moffi (19', 70')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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