MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 16:31:55| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lorient logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13
Nov 26, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
Metz logo

Lorient
2 - 3
Metz

Faivre (7'), Junior Kroupi (22')
Yongwa (48'), Doucoure (57')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Sabaly (1'), Traore (65'), Jallow (83' pen.)
Udol (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Metz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Clermont 1-0 Lorient
Sunday, November 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 3-1 Nantes
Sunday, November 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lorient 1-1 Metz

Metz may have entered the international break with the wind in their sails, but Lorient arguably benefitted more from the fortnight's reset, especially with a couple of names exiting their packed treatment room. Les Merlus are seldom outclassed on their own turf as well, so we can envisage Le Bris's team ending their goalless streak to take a point off of their newly-promoted foes on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.

Result
LorientDrawMetz
32.29% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 26.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 41.66% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.28% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.96% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)51.03% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.1% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)72.9% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.34% (0.015000000000001 0.02)29.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.29% (0.018000000000001 0.02)65.71% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)24.25% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.4% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)58.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 32.29%
    Metz 41.65%
    Draw 26.04%
LorientDrawMetz
1-0 @ 8.74% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 7.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.16% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.15% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 32.29%
1-1 @ 12.38%
0-0 @ 7.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.04%
0-1 @ 10.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.77% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-2 @ 7.22% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 4.14% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 3.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.52%
1-4 @ 1.47% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 41.65%

How you voted: Lorient vs Metz

Lorient
30.8%
Draw
46.2%
Metz
23.1%
13
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 33
Lorient
1-0
Metz
Ouattara (90+4')
Laporte (22'), Mendes (81')

Amadou (36'), Nguette (84')
Dec 12, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 18
Metz
4-1
Lorient
Sarr (5'), Jenz (9' og.), Boulaya (19'), Niane (80')
Pajot (49'), Sarr (89')
Jenz (69')
Abergel (17'), Laporte (28')
May 16, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 37
Lorient
2-1
Metz
Wissa (31' pen.), Hergault (74')
Grbic (90+1')
Traore (72')
Kouyate (23'), Bronn (30'), Ambrose (65'), Centonze (84')
Oct 4, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 6
Metz
3-1
Lorient
Niane (44' pen., 59', 64')
Angban (40')
Hamel (36')
Abergel (52'), Wissa (86')
Mar 31, 2019 12pm
Gameweek 30
Metz
2-1
Lorient
Diallo (30' pen.), Gakpa (77')
Boulaya (87')
Nguette (34')
Claude Maurice (82')
Meslier (28'), Sissoko (54'), Sarr (67'), Lemoine (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG108202982126
2Marseille1062223121120
3MonacoMonaco10622157820
4Lille10532169718
5Nice104421991016
6Lyon104331715215
7Lens1035297214
8Reims104241615114
9StrasbourgStrasbourg103431919013
10Auxerre104151718-113
11Brest104151316-313
12Toulouse103341111012
13Rennes103251316-311
14NantesNantes102441214-210
15Angers102441116-510
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne103161024-1410
17Le HavreLe Havre10307820-129
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier10118830-224


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!