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Toulouse
Ligue 1 header desktop

Ligue 1
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7
Oct 1, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Metz logo

Toulouse
3 - 0
Metz

Schmidt (31'), Dallinga (43'), Magri (82')
Nicolaisen (13'), Suazo (63'), Sierro (75')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Metz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 2-1 Toulouse
Sunday, September 24 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Metz

All competitions
Last Game: Metz 0-1 Strasbourg
Sunday, September 24 at 12pm in Ligue 1

We said: Toulouse 1-1 Metz

 Draws have been commonplace in this fixture over the past several years, and while the two sides have not squared off since pre-COVID times, we can envisage a similar pattern continuing here. Toulouse have established themselves as the stalemate specialists at home, but Metz have developed an affinity for dogged defensive showings on the road, and both sides should leave with another point in the bag. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Metz had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result
ToulouseDrawMetz
38.73% (-0.422 -0.42) 26.34% (0.145 0.15) 34.93% (0.277 0.28)
Both teams to score 52.95% (-0.44 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.25% (-0.578 -0.58)51.75% (0.57700000000001 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.48% (-0.503 -0.5)73.52% (0.50399999999999 0.5)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.88% (-0.497 -0.5)26.12% (0.497 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.81% (-0.671 -0.67)61.19% (0.671 0.67)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.67% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)28.33% (0.112 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.94% (-0.139 -0.14)64.06% (0.14 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 38.73%
    Metz 34.93%
    Draw 26.34%
ToulouseDrawMetz
1-0 @ 9.93% (0.087999999999999 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.41% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-0 @ 6.67% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.76% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.98% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 38.73%
1-1 @ 12.52% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 7.4% (0.169 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.3% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.34%
0-1 @ 9.33% (0.185 0.19)
1-2 @ 7.9% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.89% (0.099 0.1)
1-3 @ 3.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.48% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 34.93%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Metz

Toulouse
43.8%
Draw
43.8%
Metz
12.5%
16
Head to Head
Mar 14, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 29
Toulouse
P-P
Metz
Sep 28, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 8
Metz
2-2
Toulouse
Diallo (4'), Niane (91' pen.)
Delaine (11')
Said (86'), Koulouris (95')
Gradel (95')
Mar 3, 2018 7pm
Metz
1-1
Toulouse
Roux (32')
Palmieri (42')
Amian (84')
Jean (18'), Moubandje (44'), Toivonen (87'), Durmaz (90')
Nov 18, 2017 7pm
Toulouse
0-0
Metz
Blin (39'), Amian Adou (72')
Niakhate (16'), Dossevi (41'), Roux (51')
Diagne (23')
May 14, 2017 8pm
Metz
1-1
Toulouse
Sarr (66')
Braithwaite (9')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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