Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Toulouse | Draw | Clermont |
41.88% ( 0.17) | 27.31% ( 0.25) | 30.8% ( -0.43) |
Both teams to score 48.83% ( -0.91) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.51% ( -1.08) | 56.48% ( 1.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.52% ( -0.88) | 77.48% ( 0.88) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.4% ( -0.41) | 26.6% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.17% ( -0.54) | 61.83% ( 0.54) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.53% ( -0.87) | 33.47% ( 0.87) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.89% ( -0.96) | 70.1% ( 0.96) |
Score Analysis |
Toulouse | Draw | Clermont |
1-0 @ 11.79% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 41.88% | 1-1 @ 12.9% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.31% | 0-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.44% Total : 30.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
6 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
7 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
15 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
16 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |