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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 37
May 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadium Municipal
AJ Auxerre

Toulouse
1 - 1
Auxerre

Aboukhlal (44')
Spierings (71')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Raveloson (24')
Jubal (2'), Massengo (18'), Abline (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Auxerre 1-2 PSG
Sunday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Toulouse 2-0 Auxerre

In spite of their recent attacking failures, Toulouse's build-up play will be boosted greatly by the expected return of Van den Boomen, and Auxerre are not exactly the masters of keeping things tight at the back against the Coupe de France holders. Pelissier's side have rarely been blown away in 2023, though, and victory could secure survival for the visitors if results elsewhere go in their favour, but we cannot see any surprises being sprung against a sturdy Toulouse backline as the fight for survival goes right down to the wire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 50.29%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 25.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 0-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
ToulouseDrawAuxerre
50.29% (-0.239 -0.24) 24.58% (-0.026 -0.03) 25.13% (0.265 0.27)
Both teams to score 53.27% (0.346 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.13% (0.33000000000001 0.33)48.86% (-0.329 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.04% (0.297 0.3)70.96% (-0.297 -0.3)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.55% (0.033000000000001 0.03)19.44% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.71% (0.051000000000002 0.05)51.29% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.13% (0.40299999999999 0.4)33.86% (-0.40300000000001 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.46% (0.433 0.43)70.53% (-0.434 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 50.29%
    Auxerre 25.13%
    Draw 24.57%
ToulouseDrawAuxerre
1-0 @ 10.78% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 8.83% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-1 @ 5.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.82% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.97% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 50.29%
1-1 @ 11.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.59% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.18% (0.054 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.57%
0-1 @ 7.13% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.32% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.86% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.28% (0.047 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.87% (0.039 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 25.13%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Auxerre

Toulouse
73.3%
Draw
20.0%
Auxerre
6.7%
30
Head to Head
Jan 11, 2023 6pm
gameweek 18
Auxerre
0-5
Toulouse

Niang (43'), Mensah (55'), Jubal (88')
Chaibi (4'), Rouault (33'), Van den Boomen (41' pen.), Aboukhlal (75'), Dallinga (88')
Sylla (44')
Mar 19, 2022 2pm
gameweek 30
Auxerre
1-2
Toulouse
Dugimont (71')
Pellenard (42')
Charbonnier (38')
Van den Boomen (33' pen., 41')
Spierings (9')
Oct 16, 2021 2pm
gameweek 12
Toulouse
6-0
Auxerre
Healey (4', 72'), Ratao (7', 46'), Mvoue (24'), Nicolaisen (84')
Genreau (44')

Dugimont (49')
Feb 2, 2021 7pm
gameweek 23
Auxerre
3-1
Toulouse
Dugimont (4', 77'), N'Gando (42')
Bernard (90+2')
Healey (90+3' pen.)
Healey (80'), Machado (88')
Sep 26, 2020 2pm
gameweek 5
Toulouse
3-1
Auxerre
Van den Boomen (69' pen.), Moreira (86'), Healey (90+3')
van den Boomen (43'), Moreira (90+2')
Le Bihan (58')
Sakhi (34')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG12102036102632
2MonacoMonaco1282221101126
3Marseille1272327161123
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon125431916319
6Reims125342016418
7Nice1145221111017
8Lens124531312117
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse124351314-115
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest124171622-613
13Saint-EtienneSt Etienne124171125-1413
14Rennes113261318-511
15NantesNantes112451417-310
16Angers112451320-710
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier122191132-217


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