Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nantes 1-5 Toulouse
Saturday, April 29 at 8pm in Coupe de France
Saturday, April 29 at 8pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Lens 3-0 Monaco
Saturday, April 22 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, April 22 at 8pm in Ligue 1
We said: Toulouse 1-1 Lens
Both teams are in excellent form, which should create a fascinating match on Tuesday evening. Lens are in desperate need of all three points to continue their push for a top-two position, but Toulouse will also be full of confidence, so we have had to settle on a draw in this contest. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 51.44%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 2-1 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toulouse | Draw | Lens |
26% ( 0.18) | 22.56% ( 0.3) | 51.44% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 60.98% ( -0.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.91% ( -1.27) | 39.08% ( 1.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.59% ( -1.34) | 61.41% ( 1.35) |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.04% ( -0.53) | 27.96% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.41% ( -0.69) | 63.59% ( 0.69) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.64% ( -0.61) | 15.36% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.87% ( -1.16) | 44.13% ( 1.17) |
| Score Analysis |
Toulouse 26%
Lens 51.44%
Draw 22.56%
| Toulouse | Draw | Lens |
| 2-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.24)2-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.65% Total : 26% | 1-1 @ 10.25% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.25)3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.56% | 1-2 @ 9.6% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.31)0-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 6% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 4.71% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 2.81% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 2.2% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.1)1-5 @ 1.05% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.87% Total : 51.44% |
How you voted: Toulouse vs Lens
Toulouse
27.2%Draw
19.4%Lens
53.4%103
