Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28
Mar 18, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
Lens3 - 0Angers
We said: Lens 3-0 Angers
The Stade Bollaert-Delelis is not quite the fortress it once was for Lens earlier in the campaign, but they should encounter few obstacles en route to a comfortable win this weekend. With Angers mired in turmoil on and off the field, a reignited Openda can feast alongside his Champions League-chasing teammates, and keeping the scoreline respectable should be the visitors' primary goal here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 69.37%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Angers had a probability of 12.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for an Angers win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Lens in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lens.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Angers |
69.37% ( -0.16) | 18.56% ( 0.07) | 12.07% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 48.06% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.74% ( -0.07) | 43.26% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.35% ( -0.07) | 65.65% ( 0.07) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.67% ( -0.06) | 11.33% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 63.99% ( -0.13) | 36.01% ( 0.14) |
| Angers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.21% ( 0.11) | 45.79% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.44% ( 0.09) | 81.56% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
Lens 69.37%
Angers 12.07%
Draw 18.56%
| Lens | Draw | Angers |
| 2-0 @ 12.3% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 11.3% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0)Other @ 3.62% Total : 69.37% | 1-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.79% Total : 18.56% | 0-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.01% Total : 12.07% |
How you voted: Lens vs Angers
Lens
85.4%Draw
4.9%Angers
9.8%41
