Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 53.06%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 23.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.74%) and 0-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for an Auxerre win it was 1-0 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Auxerre | Draw | Lille |
23.19% ( 0.32) | 23.75% ( 0.2) | 53.06% ( -0.51) |
Both teams to score 53.77% ( -0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.82% ( -0.51) | 47.18% ( 0.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.59% ( -0.48) | 69.41% ( 0.48) |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.36% ( 0) | 34.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.63% ( 0) | 71.36% ( -0) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.27% ( -0.38) | 17.73% ( 0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.6% ( -0.66) | 48.4% ( 0.66) |
Score Analysis |
Auxerre | Draw | Lille |
1-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.1% Total : 23.19% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.75% | 0-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 9.74% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 9.19% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 5.62% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 5.3% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 2.43% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 2.29% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.6% Total : 53.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |