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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27
Mar 10, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Lille-Metropole
Lyon

Lille
3 - 3
Lyon

David (46', 61' pen., 79' pen.)
Gudmundsson (38'), Andre (72'), Chevalier (75'), Bamba (90+8'), Gomes (90+9')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Barcola (64'), Lacazette (83', 89')
Lepenant (24'), Cherki (60'), Kumbedi (85'), Lovren (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lens 1-1 Lille
Saturday, March 4 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 0-0 Lorient
Sunday, March 5 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lille 2-1 Lyon

Both clubs are among the sides in form in Ligue 1 at the moment, so it is tough to separate them. With Lyon's injury issues though, Lille may have the slight edge, especially when you factor in their fantastic home record. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 48.1%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
LilleDrawLyon
48.1% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 23.31% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 28.59% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 60.55% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.36% (0.007000000000005 0.01)40.64% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.97% (0.0059999999999931 0.01)63.02% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.87% (0.010000000000005 0.01)17.13% (-0.0089999999999968 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.64% (0.015000000000001 0.02)47.36% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)26.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)62.26% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Score Analysis
    Lille 48.1%
    Lyon 28.59%
    Draw 23.3%
LilleDrawLyon
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.14%
2-0 @ 7.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 5.54% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.86% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.6%
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 48.1%
1-1 @ 10.67% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.61% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.59% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.3%
1-2 @ 7.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 6.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.97% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 3.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.7%
0-3 @ 1.74% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 28.59%

How you voted: Lille vs Lyon

Lille
68.6%
Draw
12.4%
Lyon
19.0%
121
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2023 5.15pm
Round of 16
Lyon
2-2
Lille
Lyon win 4-2 on penalties
Cherki (8'), Lacazette (21')
Barcola (26'), Diomande (84')
David (29' pen.), Zhegrova (64')
Zhegrova (29'), David (30'), Andre (75')
Oct 30, 2022 7.45pm
Feb 27, 2022 7.45pm
Lyon
0-1
Lille

Dembele (19'), Caqueret (43'), Aouar (90+1')
Gudmundsson (35')
David (81'), Xeka (83')
Dec 12, 2021 12pm
Lille
0-0
Lyon

Andre (18'), Celik (22')

Da Silva (24'), Mendes (45+1'), Gusto (82'), Dembele (88'), Boateng (90+2'), Cherki (90+5')
Apr 25, 2021 8pm
Lyon
2-3
Lille
Slimani (20'), Fonte (35' og.)
Yilmaz (45+1', 85'), David (60')
Andre (43'), Yilmaz (86'), Yazici (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG12102036102632
2MonacoMonaco1282221101126
3Marseille1272327161123
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon125431916319
6Reims125342016418
7Nice1145221111017
8Lens124531312117
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse124351314-115
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest124171622-613
13Saint-EtienneSt Etienne124171125-1413
14Rennes113261318-511
15NantesNantes112451417-310
16Angers112451320-710
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier122191132-217


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