MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 13:51:09| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23
Feb 12, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Lille-Metropole
Strasbourg

Lille
2 - 0
Strasbourg

David (23' pen., 28')
Virginius (80')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Prcic (36'), Dagba (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lyon 2-2 Lille (4-2 pen.)
Wednesday, February 8 at 5.15pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-0 Montpellier
Sunday, February 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lille 2-0 Strasbourg

Having scored 21 goals across their 11 home league games this season – securing six wins along the way – Lille should cruise to a comfortable victory over relegation-threatened Strasbourg, who have lost five of their past nine away league outings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 69.92%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 11.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 0-1 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lille in this match.

Result
LilleDrawStrasbourg
69.92% (-0.452 -0.45) 18.09% (0.065000000000001 0.07) 11.99% (0.388 0.39)
Both teams to score 49.45% (1.072 1.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.71% (0.746 0.75)41.29% (-0.744 -0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.31% (0.752 0.75)63.68% (-0.751 -0.75)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.35% (0.087999999999994 0.09)10.64% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.51% (0.197 0.2)34.49% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.34% (1.146 1.15)44.66% (-1.147 -1.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.34% (0.911 0.91)80.66% (-0.911 -0.91)
Score Analysis
    Lille 69.9%
    Strasbourg 11.99%
    Draw 18.09%
LilleDrawStrasbourg
2-0 @ 11.92% (-0.32 -0.32)
1-0 @ 10.64% (-0.33 -0.33)
2-1 @ 9.62% (0.055 0.05)
3-0 @ 8.91% (-0.203 -0.2)
3-1 @ 7.18% (0.066999999999999 0.07)
4-0 @ 4.99% (-0.095 -0.09)
4-1 @ 4.02% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.117 0.12)
5-0 @ 2.24% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.8% (0.03 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.62% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 69.9%
1-1 @ 8.58% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.75% (-0.162 -0.16)
2-2 @ 3.88% (0.144 0.14)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 18.09%
0-1 @ 3.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.46% (0.116 0.12)
0-2 @ 1.54% (0.046 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.04% (0.07 0.07)
1-3 @ 0.93% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 11.99%

How you voted: Lille vs Strasbourg

Lille
84.4%
Draw
8.9%
Strasbourg
6.7%
45
Head to Head
Oct 14, 2022 8pm
Strasbourg
0-3
Lille
David (41' pen., 76'), Cabella (80')
Andre (17')
Apr 24, 2022 4.05pm
Lille
1-0
Strasbourg
Celik (87')
Gudmundsson (36'), Botman (60')

Perrin (40'), Guilbert (70'), Djiku (71')
Sep 25, 2021 6pm
Strasbourg
1-2
Lille
Sissoko (75')
Diallo (19'), Djiku (38'), Le Marchand (38'), Ajorque (83'), Stephan (88')
Thomasson (79')
David (23', 57')
Grbic (70'), Djalo (78'), Xeka (81'), Mandava (90+1')
Feb 28, 2021 4.05pm
Oct 4, 2020 2pm
Strasbourg
0-3
Lille

Djiku (42')
Celik (21'), Sanches (53'), Yilmaz (68')
Araujo (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG108202982126
2Marseille1062223121120
3MonacoMonaco10622157820
4Lille10532169718
5Nice104421991016
6Lyon104331715215
7Lens1035297214
8Reims104241615114
9StrasbourgStrasbourg103431919013
10Auxerre104151718-113
11Brest104151316-313
12Toulouse103341111012
13Rennes103251316-311
14NantesNantes102441214-210
15Angers102441116-510
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne103161024-1410
17Le HavreLe Havre10307820-129
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier10118830-224


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