Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 69.92%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 11.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 0-1 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lille in this match.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Strasbourg |
69.92% ( -0.45) | 18.09% ( 0.07) | 11.99% ( 0.39) |
Both teams to score 49.45% ( 1.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.71% ( 0.75) | 41.29% ( -0.74) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.31% ( 0.75) | 63.68% ( -0.75) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.35% ( 0.09) | 10.64% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.51% ( 0.2) | 34.49% ( -0.2) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.34% ( 1.15) | 44.66% ( -1.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.34% ( 0.91) | 80.66% ( -0.91) |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Strasbourg |
2-0 @ 11.92% ( -0.32) 1-0 @ 10.64% ( -0.33) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.12) 5-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.07) Other @ 4.08% Total : 69.9% | 1-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.87% Total : 18.09% | 0-1 @ 3.83% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.19% Total : 11.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 8 | 21 | 26 |
2 | Marseille | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 20 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 18 |
5 | Nice | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 16 |
6 | Lyon | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
7 | Lens | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 14 |
8 | Reims | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 14 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 13 |
10 | Auxerre | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 |
11 | Brest | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Toulouse | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
13 | Rennes | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 30 | -22 | 4 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |