Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Lille had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Lille |
46.74% ( 0.06) | 23.63% ( -0.04) | 29.62% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 60.16% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.53% ( 0.17) | 41.46% ( -0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.13% ( 0.18) | 63.86% ( -0.18) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.02% ( 0.09) | 17.98% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.17% ( 0.16) | 48.82% ( -0.16) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.34% ( 0.07) | 26.65% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.1% ( 0.1) | 61.89% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Lille |
2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.04% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.7% Total : 46.74% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.63% | 1-2 @ 7.19% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.34% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.17% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 3.13% Total : 29.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 5 | 15 | 16 |
2 | Marseille | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 13 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 13 |
4 | Lens | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 9 |
5 | NantesNantes | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 8 |
6 | Reims | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 8 |
7 | Nice | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
8 | Rennes | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
9 | Lille | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 |
10 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 6 |
11 | Le HavreLe Havre | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
13 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Toulouse | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 5 |
15 | Lyon | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
16 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 4 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 15 | -14 | 3 |
18 | Angers | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 2 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |