Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30
Apr 9, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Francois Coty
Ajaccio0 - 3Auxerre
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Clermont 2-1 Ajaccio
Sunday, April 2 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, April 2 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Auxerre 1-0 Troyes
Saturday, April 1 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, April 1 at 4pm in Ligue 1
We said: Ajaccio 0-1 Auxerre
Even with a couple of injuries rearing their ugly heads for the Auxerre defence, a shot-shy Ajaccio side who have struggled for goals at home all season should experience little joy against Pelissier's backline. Low-scoring encounters have been the theme for these two sides in recent memory, and there is nothing to suggest that this contest will not follow a similar pattern, but an increasingly resilient Auxerre side can nick a solitary goal to potentially jump out of the bottom four and deepen Ajaccio's relegation fears. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 1-0 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajaccio | Draw | Auxerre |
34.31% ( -0.02) | 27.12% ( -0.01) | 38.57% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.37% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
