Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 47.27%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 27.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.
Result | ||
Strasbourg | Draw | Auxerre |
47.27% ( -0.35) | 25.35% ( 0.09) | 27.38% ( 0.26) |
Both teams to score 52.8% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.58% ( -0.23) | 50.41% ( 0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.65% ( -0.2) | 72.34% ( 0.19) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.66% ( -0.25) | 21.33% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.7% ( -0.38) | 54.3% ( 0.38) |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.13% ( 0.08) | 32.87% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.56% ( 0.09) | 69.44% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Strasbourg | Draw | Auxerre |
1-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.45% Total : 47.27% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.51% Total : 27.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
6 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
7 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
15 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
16 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |