Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Clermont win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Clermont | Draw | Strasbourg |
31.69% ( -1.29) | 27.35% ( -0.48) | 40.96% ( 1.78) |
Both teams to score 49.04% ( 1.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.63% ( 1.5) | 56.37% ( -1.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.61% ( 1.2) | 77.39% ( -1.2) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.22% ( -0.13) | 32.78% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.66% ( -0.14) | 69.34% ( 0.15) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.95% ( 1.71) | 27.05% ( -1.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.59% ( 2.18) | 62.41% ( -2.18) |
Score Analysis |
Clermont | Draw | Strasbourg |
1-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.61) 2-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.37) 3-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.59% Total : 31.69% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.52) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.35% | 0-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 8.45% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 7.58% ( 0.29) 1-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.29) 0-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.27) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.16) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.15) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.01% Total : 40.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |