Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 56.2%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 20.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for an Auxerre win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nice | Draw | Auxerre |
56.2% ( 0.49) | 22.87% ( -0.24) | 20.93% ( -0.25) |
Both teams to score 53.57% ( 0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.03% ( 0.71) | 45.97% ( -0.71) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.72% ( 0.67) | 68.28% ( -0.67) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.83% ( 0.42) | 16.17% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.37% ( 0.76) | 45.63% ( -0.76) |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.9% ( 0.15) | 36.09% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.12% ( 0.15) | 72.88% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Nice | Draw | Auxerre |
1-0 @ 10.63% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.69% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.29% Total : 56.19% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.86% | 0-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.82% Total : 20.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
6 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
7 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
15 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
16 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |