Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 60%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Nice had a probability of 18.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Nice |
60% ( 1.27) | 21.84% ( -0.06) | 18.14% ( -1.22) |
Both teams to score 52.19% ( -2.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.51% ( -1.61) | 45.48% ( 1.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.18% ( -1.56) | 67.81% ( 1.55) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.25% ( -0.13) | 14.74% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.03% ( -0.25) | 42.96% ( 0.25) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.21% ( -2.28) | 38.78% ( 2.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.48% ( -2.23) | 75.51% ( 2.23) |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Nice |
1-0 @ 10.94% ( 0.69) 2-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.61) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.36) 3-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3% ( -0.21) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.58% Total : 59.99% | 1-1 @ 10.36% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.31) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.84% | 0-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.3) 0-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.22% Total : 18.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 22 |
5 | Nice | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 20 |
6 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
7 | Auxerre | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
9 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Le HavreLe Havre | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 12 |
15 | Rennes | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 11 |
16 | NantesNantes | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
17 | Angers | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |