Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 60%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Nice had a probability of 18.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Nice |
60% ( 1.27) | 21.84% ( -0.06) | 18.14% ( -1.22) |
Both teams to score 52.19% ( -2.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.51% ( -1.61) | 45.48% ( 1.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.18% ( -1.56) | 67.81% ( 1.55) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.25% ( -0.13) | 14.74% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.03% ( -0.25) | 42.96% ( 0.25) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.21% ( -2.28) | 38.78% ( 2.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.48% ( -2.23) | 75.51% ( 2.23) |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Nice |
1-0 @ 10.94% ( 0.69) 2-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.61) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.36) 3-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3% ( -0.21) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.58% Total : 59.99% | 1-1 @ 10.36% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.31) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.84% | 0-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.3) 0-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.22% Total : 18.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |