Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 59.25%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Nice had a probability of 18.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Nice |
59.25% | 21.85% | 18.91% |
Both teams to score 53.58% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.67% | 44.32% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.3% | 66.7% |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.4% | 14.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.31% | 42.68% |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.74% | 37.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.96% | 74.04% |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Nice |
1-0 @ 10.46% 2-0 @ 10.06% 2-1 @ 9.94% 3-0 @ 6.46% 3-1 @ 6.38% 3-2 @ 3.15% 4-0 @ 3.11% 4-1 @ 3.07% 4-2 @ 1.52% 5-0 @ 1.2% 5-1 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.72% Total : 59.23% | 1-1 @ 10.33% 0-0 @ 5.44% 2-2 @ 4.91% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.84% | 0-1 @ 5.37% 1-2 @ 5.1% 0-2 @ 2.65% 1-3 @ 1.68% 2-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.49% Total : 18.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 10 | 23 | 29 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 23 |
3 | Marseille | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Reims | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
13 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |