Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Monaco |
30.63% | 24.54% | 44.83% |
Both teams to score 57.57% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.87% | 45.13% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.52% | 67.48% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.18% | 27.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.59% | 63.41% |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.76% | 20.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.43% | 52.57% |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Monaco |
2-1 @ 7.36% 1-0 @ 7.2% 2-0 @ 4.61% 3-1 @ 3.14% 3-2 @ 2.51% 3-0 @ 1.97% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.84% Total : 30.63% | 1-1 @ 11.5% 2-2 @ 5.88% 0-0 @ 5.63% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.53% | 1-2 @ 9.19% 0-1 @ 9% 0-2 @ 7.19% 1-3 @ 4.9% 0-3 @ 3.83% 2-3 @ 3.13% 1-4 @ 1.96% 0-4 @ 1.53% 2-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.87% Total : 44.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
6 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
7 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
15 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
16 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |