Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 49.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 25.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.