Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 49.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 25.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
49.11% | 25.72% | 25.16% |
Both teams to score 49.82% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.58% | 53.42% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.05% | 74.95% |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.23% | 21.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.04% | 54.97% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.69% | 36.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.9% | 73.1% |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
1-0 @ 12.05% 2-1 @ 9.31% 2-0 @ 9.19% 3-1 @ 4.73% 3-0 @ 4.67% 3-2 @ 2.4% 4-1 @ 1.8% 4-0 @ 1.78% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.28% Total : 49.11% | 1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 7.91% 2-2 @ 4.71% Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 8.01% 1-2 @ 6.18% 0-2 @ 4.06% 1-3 @ 2.09% 2-3 @ 1.59% 0-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.86% Total : 25.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
6 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
7 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
15 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
16 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |