Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5

Sep 27, 2020 at 2pm UK

Stade Gaston Gérard

Dijon
2 - 2
Montpellier

Ebimbe (8'), Ecuele Manga (60')
Chafik (9'), Celina (19'), Ebimbe (28'), Panzo (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Delort (50'), Savanier (90' pen.)
Mavididi (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Dijon and Montpellier, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 44.9%. A win for Dijon had a probability of 28.1% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (8.52%). The likeliest Dijon win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Dijon	Draw	Montpellier HSC
28.1%	27%	44.9%

Both teams to score 48.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.58%

56.42%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.57%

77.43%

Dijon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.5%

35.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.74%

72.26%

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.97%

25.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.31%

59.69%

Score Analysis

Dijon 28.1%

Montpellier HSC 44.9%

Draw 26.99%

Dijon	Draw	Montpellier HSC
1-0 @ 9.2% 2-1 @ 6.6% 2-0 @ 4.77% 3-1 @ 2.28% 3-0 @ 1.65% 3-2 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.03% Total : 28.1%	1-1 @ 12.74% 0-0 @ 8.88% 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.99%	0-1 @ 12.3% 1-2 @ 8.83% 0-2 @ 8.52% 1-3 @ 4.08% 0-3 @ 3.94% 2-3 @ 2.11% 1-4 @ 1.41% 0-4 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.35% Total : 44.9%