Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14

Dec 12, 2020 at 4pm UK

Stade Velodrome

Marseille
2 - 1
Monaco

Thauvin (5'), Benedetto (13')
Kamara (76'), Thauvin (77'), Germain (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Ben Yedder (79' pen.)
Fofana (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Monaco
39.19%	25.93%	34.88%

Both teams to score 54.32%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.01%

49.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.03%

71.97%

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.94%

25.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.26%

59.74%

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.49%

27.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.98%

63.02%

Score Analysis

Marseille 39.19%

Monaco 34.88%

Draw 25.93%

Marseille	Draw	Monaco
1-0 @ 9.54% 2-1 @ 8.52% 2-0 @ 6.6% 3-1 @ 3.93% 3-0 @ 3.05% 3-2 @ 2.54% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.6% Total : 39.19%	1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 6.9% 2-2 @ 5.5% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.93%	0-1 @ 8.9% 1-2 @ 7.95% 0-2 @ 5.74% 1-3 @ 3.42% 0-3 @ 2.47% 2-3 @ 2.37% 1-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.94% Total : 34.88%